Curriculum Vitae
Bao H. Nguyen
Address
Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, University of Tasmania, Room D111, Building D,
Newnham Campus, Locked Bag 1317, Launceston TAS 7250, Australia.
Phone: +61 3 6324 3299 and +61 416 550 705
Email: b.nguy[email protected] and nguyenhoaib[email protected]
Skype: nguyen.hoai.bao2
Personal website: https://sites.google.com/site/nguyenhoaibao/
Academic Interests
Applied Macroeconomics, Energy Economics, Time Series Econometrics, Bayesian
Methods
Employment
2020–present Lecturer, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, University of Tasmania.
2017–present Research Associate, Centre for Applied Macroeconomic Analysis (CAMA), Australian
National University.
2017–2019 Lecturer, Development Policy Centre, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian
National University.
Visiting lecturer, School of Business and Public Policy, University of Papua New
Guinea.
2005-2020 Lecturer, University of Economics Ho Chi Minh city (UEH).
2003-2009 Tutor and Lecturer, Fulbright Economics Teaching Program (Vietnam Harvard Pro-
gram).
Education
2013–2017 PhD in Economics, Crawford School of Public Policy, Australian National University.
Thesis title: “Essays in the Application of Linear and Non-linear Bayesian VAR mod-
els to the Macroeconomic Impacts of Energy Price Shocks”. Supervisors: Warwick
McKibbin, Renee Fry-McKibbin and Nam Hoang.
2009 ERASMUS Visiting and Exchange Student, University of Gothenburg, Sweeden.
2006–2008 Master of Development Economics, The University of Economics in Ho Chi Minh City.
Thesis title: “Analysis of the Factors Impacting on Inflation in Vietnam 1995–2007
by Using the P–Star Model”. Supervisor: Prof. Nguyen Trong Hoai.
1995–2000 Bachelor of Economics, The University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City.
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Complementary Education
2016 Bayesian Nonparametric Techniques with Applications, University of Melbourne (In-
structor: Yong Song)
2016 Bayesian Time Series Methods: Introductory, The Barcelona Graduate School of Eco-
nomics (Instructor: Gary Koop)
2016 Empirical Time Series Methods for Macroeconomic Analysis: Introductory, The Barcelona
Graduate School of Economics (Instructor: Luca Gambetti)
2016 Solving DSGE models, Monash University (Instructor: Petr Sedlacek)
2009–2010 Mathematics, Advanced Microeconomics, Advanced Macroeconomics, Econometrics
(6-month exchange program, The University of Gothenburg, Sweden)
2002–2003 Applied Economics for Public Policy (1 year graduate program, Fulbright Economics
Teaching Program/Harvard Vietnam Program): Certificate of Post Graduate Study
Teaching Experience
2020–present Lecturer of Principles of Economics, Quantitative Methods at Tasmanian School of
Business and Economics, UTAS, Australia.
2017–2019 Lecturer of Intermediate Microeconomics, Intermediate Macroeconomics and Quanti-
tative Economics (undergraduate level) at UPNG, Papua New Guinea.
2017 Tutor of Microeconomics 2 (undergraduate level) at Research School of Economics
(ANU), Australia.
2017 Lecturer of Introduction to Matlab at Vietnam Policy and Economy Group (VPEG),
Australia.
2005–2013 Lecturer of Macroeconomics, Microeconomics (undergraduate and graduate level) at
the University of Economics in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam.
2004–2009 Research Assistant (Professors Ari Kokko, David Dapice, Lora Sapin) and Teaching
Assistant for various courses (postgraduate level) at Fulbright Economics Teaching
Program (Harvard Vietnam Program), Vietnam.
Research
Refereed Journal Publication
1. “Forecasting natural gas prices using highly flexible time-varying parameter models”, with Chenghan
Hou and Shen Gao, Economic Modelling, volume 105, Dec, 2021 (ABDC Ranking: A).
2. “Uncertainty-dependent and sign-dependent effects of oil market shocks”, with Brian Tran and
Tatsuyoshi Okimoto, Journal of Commodity Markets,In Press, Jun 2021 (ABDC Ranking: A).
3. “On the China factor in international oil markets: a regime switching approach, with Jamie Cross
and Chenghan Hou, Energy Economics, Volume 95, March 2021 (ABDC Ranking: A*).
4. “Asymmetric reactions of the U.S. natural gas market and economic activity”, with Tatsuyoshi
Okimoto, Energy Economics, Volume 80, May, 2019, (ABDC Ranking: A*).
5. “Understanding the U.S. Natural Gas Market: A Markov Switching VAR Approach”(with Changhen
Hou), Energy Economics, Volume 75, Sep, 2018 (ABDC Ranking: A*).
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6. “Time-varying macroeconomic effects of energy price shocks: A new measure for China”(with Jamie
Cross), Energy Economics Volume 73, May, 2018 (ABDC Ranking: A*).
7. “Oil and iron ore price shocks: what are the different economic effects in Australia” (with Nam
Hoang), Economic Record, March 2018 (ABDC Ranking: A).
8. “The relationship between global oil price shocks and China’s output: A time-varying analysis”
(with Jamie Cross), Energy Economics, Volume 62, Feb, 2017 (ABDC Ranking: A*).
Working Paper/Work in Progress
1. “Real-time forecasting of the Australian macroeconomy using flexible Bayesian VARs”, with Bo
Zhang (submitted).
2. “New kid on the block: China vs the US in world oil markets”, with Jamie Cross and Bo Zhang
(submitted).
3. “The role of uncertainty and speculative trading in the market for crude oil”, with Brian Tran and
Jamie Cross, (available upon request).
4. “Papua New Guinea: riding or sinking from the resource boom? Evidence from geographical and
setoral employment”, with Dek Sum, (available upon request).
5. “Macroeconomic shocks and trade balance adjustments in Papua New Guinea”, with Dek Sum
(submitted).
6. “Effects of real exchange rate and external shocks on Papua New Guinea’s trade and output” (r&r
at Journal of Asian Economics)
7. “Papua New Guinea economic survey 2019”, forthcoming, Asia & the Pacific Policy Studies
Other publications (Pre-PhD, mainly in Vietnamese).
Book
1. Nguyen, Hoai Bao and Nguyen Trong Hoai (2009), P-Star Model Based Analysis of Inflation Dy-
namics in Vietnam, Statistic Publishing House.
Book Chapters
1. Nguyen, Hoai Bao (2007) “Human Capital and Economic Development” in Nguyen Trong Hoai (ed)
Text book – Development Economics, Labour Publishing House, Ho Chi Minh City, 167–85.
2. Nguyen, Hoai Bao (2002), “State Owned Enterprises –Their Leading Roles” in Pham. D.C., Tran–
Nam, B., and Vu. Q.V. (eds), Issues of the Vietnamese Economy: The Challenges of Integration,
Saigon Economic Times, Ho Chi Minh City Publishing House and VAPEC, Ho Chi Minh City, 137–
65.
3. Nguyen, Hoai Bao (2002), “Real Exchange Rate in Vietnam: Determination and Assessment” in
Pham. D.C., Tran-Nam, B., and Vu. Q.V. (eds), Issues of the Vietnamese Economy: The Chal-
lenges of Integration, Saigon Economic Times, Ho Chi Minh City Publishing House and VAPEC,
Ho Chi Minh City, 329–53.
Selected Refereed Articles
1. “How Monetary Policy Responds to High Inflation in Vietnam – A Taylor Rule Approach”, (with
Nguyen Trong Hoai), Journal of Economic Development (Journal of the University of Economics
of HCMC), 242, 3-7 (2010).
2. “The Quality of Economic Growth – A Note on Human and Social Capital in Vietnam”, (with
Nguyen Trong Hoai), Journal of Economic Development (Journal of the University of Economics
of HCMC), 184, 9-11 (2006).
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3. “Money Laundering – Obstacles for Economic Development?” (with Nguyen Trong Hoai), Journal
of Economic Development (Journal of the University of Economics of HCMC), 177, 2-4 (2005).
4. “E-Government – What Are Its Barriers in Vietnam?” (with Nguyen Trong Hoai), Journal of
Economic Development (Journal of the University of Economics of HCMC), 175, 2-4 (2005).
Selected Editorials
1. “Consequences of Inconsistent Policy,” Saigon Economic Times, 913, 46-47 (2008)
2. “Crowding-out of Private Investment,” Saigon Economic Times, 912, 13 (2008).
3. “Inflation Expectation: Do not Defy,” Saigon Economic Times, 911, 18-19 (2008)
4. “Surging Oil Prices: A Global Economic Recession?,” Saigon Economic Times, 718, 50-15 (2004).
Academic Visits
2018 October: Faculty of Economics and Management, Free University of Bozen/Bolzano, Italy,
worked with Prof. Francesco Ravazzolo.
2018 September - October: Bank of Finland Institute for Economies in Transition (BOFIT), Bank of
Finland, Finland
2017 December: Central Bank of Sri Lank (10th International Research Conference), Sri Lanka
2017 - 2019: School of Business and Public Policy, University of Papua New Guinea, PNG
2017 February: UNE Business School, University of New England, Australia
2016 September: Reserve Bank of New Zealand (Continuing Education Macroeconometrics workshop),
New Zealand
2015 May - June: UNE Business School, University of New England, Australia
Seminar & Conference Presentations
2020 Brownbag seminar, UTAS
2019 SMBI, University of Economics HCMC.
2018 CAMA Seminar, ANU; Arndt-Corden Development Economics seminar, ANU; PNG
Update, UPNG; BOFIT seminars, Bank of Finland; SMBI, University of Economics
HCMC.
2017 CAMA Seminar (2), ANU; 10th International Research Conference, Central Bank of
Sri Lanka; School of Business Seminar, UNE.
2016 CAMA Seminar, ANU; Crawford PhD Conference, ANU; Western Economic Asso-
ciation International (WEAI), 12th International Conference, Nanyang University,
Singapore.
2005 2005 Summer Conference on Continuing Socio – Economic Renovation for Develop-
ment, University of Danang, Danang, Vietnam.
2002 Vietnam’s Economic Policy Issues Conference, Saigon Economic Times and Interna-
tional Monetary Fund (IMF).
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Honors and Awards
2013–2017 Australia Awards Scholarships administered by the Department of Foreign Affairs and
Trade of Australia government for completion a PhD program at Australian National
University.
2009 EURASIA Scholarship within the framework of the Erasmus Mundus External Co-
operation Window for stay of 6 months at Gothenburg University in the programme
of Master of Science in Economics.
2002–2003 Fulbright Scholarship administered by the Bureau of Educational and Cultural Affairs
of the United States Department of State for Post Graduate program in Vietnam.
2000 Student Science Study Award for the Best Research Certificate of recognition from
the Minister of Education and Training on “State Owned Enterprise – Development
Challenge of Vietnam”.
2000 Student Science Study Award for the Best Research Certificate of recognition from the
Minister of Education and Training on “Foreign Exchange Black Market– Research
and Solution for Vietnam”.
1999 Student Science Study Award for the Best Research Certificate of recognition from the
President of the National University on “Foreign Exchange Black Market– Research
and Solution for Vietnam”.
1998 Student Science Study Award for the Best Research Certificate of recognition from the
Minister of Education and Training on “Estimated Impact of the Euro Adoption”.
Conference co-organizer
2016 7th Annual Crawford PhD Conference, ANU.
Referees
Warwick McKibbin
Professor, Crawford School of Publc Policy, Australia National University, Australia.
Email: warwick.mckibbin@anu.edu.au Phone: +61-2-6125-0301
Renee McKibbin (Fry)
Professor, Crawford School of Publc Policy, Australia National University, Australia.
Email: renee.mckibbin@anu.edu.au Phone: +61-2-6125-3387
Nam Hoang
Senior Lecturer, School of Business, University of New England, Australia.
Email: [email protected] Phone: +61-2-6773-2682
(Last updated: October 21, 2021)
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